What more could you want on a Friday night than a Mountain West matchup? We’ve got the latest sports betting odds, DFS and fantasy picks, and a San Diego State vs. New Mexico prediction ahead of the action.
San Diego State vs. New Mexico Betting Preview
- Spread
San Diego State (-14) - Moneyline
San Diego State (-645); New Mexico (+480) - Over/Under
37.5 points - Game time
9:45 p.m. ET - Location
University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM - Predicted weather at kickoff
32 degrees, partly cloudy, 6.8 mph winds - How to watch
fuboTV, FS1
Whether in San Diego or New Mexico, the Lobos have lost to the Aztecs in seven consecutive clashes dating back to 2009. Although San Diego State has been a shadow of the team that finished last season 12-2 with a Mountain West title and AP Top 25 ranking, there’s a reason there’s such a moneyline disparity.
With such a miserly return on backing the Aztecs to win outright, investigating other markets might make you some money from this matchup with New Mexico.
Despite only covering the spread in 40% of their games, I’d wager that San Diego State can rack up more than a two-touchdown advantage against a team that has lost six games by over 14 points this season. New Mexico is 3-6-1 against the spread this season.
San Diego State covered the 37.5 points over/under line on their own last time out, putting 43 points on a San Jose State that averages less than 20 points per game allowed. The previous nine games between the Lobos and the Aztecs have also surpassed the mark.
Buyer beware, however, as the two are averaging a total of 36.6 points per game combined.
Top DFS Picks and Fantasy Plays
Can you make a mint on New Mexico? Will the Aztecs put gold in your account? Place your San Diego State vs. New Mexico picks with Fanduel Fantasy, and you’ll get a $10 bonus off a $1 entry.
- QB Jalen Mayden, San Diego State ($10,000)
- QB Braxton Burmeister, San Diego State ($10,000)
- QB Justin Holaday, New Mexico ($7,000)
- QB Miles Kendrick, New Mexico ($7,000)
- RB Jordan Byrd, San Diego State ($7,000)
- RB Jaylon Armstead, San Diego State ($5,900)
- RB Nate Jones, New Mexico ($5,800)
- RB Christian Washington, New Mexico ($5,400)
- RB Cam Davis, San Diego State ($5,300)
- RB Kenan Christon, San Diego State ($5,000)
- RB Sherod White, New Mexico ($5,000)
- WR Jesse Matthews, San Diego State ($7,100)
- WR Tyrell Shavers, San Diego State ($6,800)
- WR Mekhi Shaw, San Diego State ($6,500)
- WR Geordon Proctor, New Mexico ($5,700)
- WR Luke Wysong, New Mexico ($5,200)
- WR Brionne Penny, San Diego State ($5,000)
- WR Keyonta Lanier, New Mexico ($4,500)
- TE Mark Redman, San Diego State ($5,000)
- TE Connor Witthoft, New Mexico ($4,200)
Sadly, this game hasn’t much potential to be fruitful from a fantasy or DFS perspective. However, with San Diego State vs. New Mexico being one of just two games on the Friday night schedule, you might be forced to make some picks from this Mountain West matchup.
It tells you everything you need to know about New Mexico that their leading points scorer this season is a kicker who has only registered statistics in six games. The Lobos’ second-highest scorer is also a kicker. San Diego State’s multi-use special teams weapon, Jack Browning, is the Aztecs’ highest scorer this fall.
The Lobos have just three receiving touchdowns all season, making a quarterback or pass-catching selection from New Mexico tantamount to throwing up a fantasy white flag in surrender. If you do find yourself needing to add a New Mexico player, RB Nate Jones or WR Geordon Porter are your best bet.
San Diego State tight end Mark Redman is actually the best available player at his position across all four teams in action tonight. Meanwhile, 6’6″, 210-pound former Alabama WR Tyrell Shavers leads the Aztecs in receiving yards after a second career 100+ yard day on just four receptions against San Jose State.
Prediction for San Diego State vs. New Mexico
Having gained bowl eligibility with their win over San Jose State, the Aztecs will be looking to round out their season in style with a road win over the Lobos before facing Air Force in Snapdragon Stadium to finish the year.
Meanwhile, New Mexico is facing the reality of a two-win season for the third time in four years. After starting the year 2-1, the Lobos have lost seven consecutive games. Can Danny Gonzales’ team sneak a win over the Aztecs in Albuquerque?
San Diego State’s pass defense has been suspect this season. They’ve allowed the most passing yards per game (235.3) and passing touchdowns (19) in the Mountain West. Meanwhile, the Aztecs rank ninth in completion percentage allowed (61.4%).
That presents an opportunity for New Mexico. Except that, you have to take advantage of the opportunity, and the Lobos have one of the worst offenses in the nation. Only UMass and Colorado State have averaged less than New Mexico’s 14.7 points per game.
No team in the nation has fewer than the Lobos’ three passing touchdowns this year. Their 239.5 yards per game of total offense is even worse than an Iowa offense that has been routinely belittled throughout the 2022 college football season.
Although San Diego State has hardly been prolific, averaging 21.9 points per game, the Jalen Mayden coming out party last weekend should ensure the Aztecs leave Albuquerque with a comfortable win. The San Diego State QB had as many touchdowns in that one game as New Mexico has all season.
Prediction: San Diego State 30, New Mexico 9
