With Brian Robinson On The Verge Of Returning, Can We Trust Antonio Gibson Or J.D. McKissic?

If you’re playing a Washington Commanders vs. Tennessee Titans DFS lineup for Sunday in Week 5, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated or fall short of expectations.

The following recommended fantasy football lineup (for tournaments, 50/50, or head-to-head competitions) aims to lock in a relatively high floor while maximizing upside.

Recommended Commanders vs. Titans DFS Lineup

Today, we’re playing DraftKings “Showdown Captain Mode,” which includes one player who earns 1.5 times his scoring output, plus five Flex players. The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics pulled from decades of NFL historical data.

Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes. Criteria such as age, durability, shifting personnel, schedule, and other factors help shape these final assessments.

Commanders DFS Considerations

The biggest non-football news this week concerns the Commanders, as Brian Robinson is now on the verge of returning to the field only weeks after getting shot. On Monday, the team designated him to return from the reserve/non-football injury list.

From a fantasy and betting perspective, it’s a significant development for a franchise still searching for backfield consistency. Antonio Gibson’s DFS production has declined each game since Week 1, while J.D. McKissic’s usage has crept upward.

Even if Robinson doesn’t take the field this weekend, this RB situation remains murky. Choosing Gibson and McKissic in DFS would be relatively costly, meaning we might need 30+ combined points to make it worthwhile.

On the flip side, Jahan Dotson’s hamstring injury could consolidate production within Washington’s receiving corps. The opposing Titans have given up the fifth-most receiving yards and are tied for the most passing TDs yielded. There’s certainly an opening to be bullish about the Commanders’ passing attack, especially considering Tennessee’s rough stats have come while facing two bottom-tier passing QBs (Daniel Jones and Matt Ryan).

Titans DFS Considerations

With Treylon Burks on the shelf, Tennessee is running out of playmakers. For a team that’s 21st in points scored and leaning heavily on its aging (but still great) starting RB, there’s less room for error than with most teams.

Derrick Henry is on pace for a healthy 357 touches — excessive for most running backs, but Henry has proven he can handle it. His two catches per game are also a good sign.

MORE: NFL Week 5 Picks and Predictions

Through the air, Robert Woods might be the only Titan WR worth considering in DFS. But will he be too costly? And if so, could we take a shot on a cheap secondary receiver? If it enables us to land more elite Washington players, then it might make sense.

Recommended DFS Lineup

As we know, sometimes the best Captain isn’t the one likely to score the most points. Sometimes going cheap on the big slot gives us room to snag an extra high-performing player.

Originally, I had Logan Thomas ($5,000 normally, $7,500 as Captain) in our Captain slot. This would have generated a lot of cap space for high-ceiling players elsewhere. But because he was questionable heading into the weekend, I re-examined the possibilities in light of Dotson being declared out.

As a result, Terry McLaurin ($9,200 normally, $13,800 as Captain) goes into our Captain slot. He’s joined by a rebounding Carson Wentz ($10,600) and Curtis Samuel ($9,000). We should not be surprised if Wentz goes for over 325 yards on Sunday, with McLaurin and Samuel combining for 180+.

Because I believe Washington will win by at least a touchdown, and because I’m not sold on the expensive Woods outperforming McLaurin or Samuel or Wentz, I’m comfortable putting five Commanders in this lineup. Those two other Washington slots go to ultra-cheap Dyami Brown ($400), who should serve as his team’s No. 3 WR, and the Commanders D/ST ($3,600).

Before dismissing Washington’s defense, consider that they’ve faced three of the six highest-scoring teams: the Jaguars, Lions, and Eagles. The verdict’s still out on whether this franchise has a middling D or a very good one. Aside from Henry, Tennessee’s playmakers could face difficulty moving the ball.

Speaking of Henry ($12,000), he belongs in our final slot, as he’ll be expected to carry an even larger load — and hopefully in the passing game, too.

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