Betting sharps are on the prowl looking for any opportunity to pounce on what they believe is the winning side of a bet for Super Bowl LVII.
One of the first areas they attacked? The OVER/UNDER.
After opening the week at 49.5 points, the total for Chiefs vs Eagles in the Super Bowl has moved up a full point at BetMGM to where it currently sits: 50.5.
Super Bowl 57 over/under line movement
According to BetMGM’s own John Ewing, the reason for the move is 60% of the money is on the OVER.
We already saw the spread move on this game from the Eagles being 1.5-point favorites to 2-point favorites and now back to -1.5. But this is the first major move we’ve seen on the total.
Historically, the UNDER has hit 28 times in the Super and the OVER has hit 27. The UNDER has hit the last four Super Bowls. Before that, the OVER hit two straight times and five-of-six.
These are the two highest-scoring offenses in the NFL so it’s not surprising to see people betting the number up. The only word of caution I would offer is the UNDER hit in the last three Chiefs games and the last four Eagles games too.
