If you’re planning to bet on Week 8 NFL player props for Sunday Night Football’s intriguing Buffalo Bills vs. Green Bay Packers matchup, then you’ve come to the right place.
We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated and which could fall short of expectations. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, or FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000.
Top Bills vs. Packers Player Props To Target
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.
Josh Allen Player Props
When it comes to Josh Allen, the question isn’t whether he can produce each game; it’s whether he’ll be closer to “great” than “incredible.” His Week 8 props suggest sustained incredible play. And that might happen, so how can we bet against him?
Yet the opposing Packers have one of the league’s stingiest pass defenses. More than that, this game could be well in hand (for the Bills) by the middle of the third quarter. How much will Allen need to throw, and will Buffalo push the ground game a little more than usual against a defense more susceptible to the run?
And finally, when Buffalo has won handily this year, Allen hasn’t run as much. If we believe the Bills can take this one by 20+ (and I believe they will), that could result in a more muted rushing performance for this all-world QB.
- Rushing yards under 41.5
(-115) — DraftKings - Passing completions under 23.5
(-105) — DraftKings - Passing yards under 276.5
(-115) — DraftKings - Passing TDs under 1.5
(+165) — BetMGM - Interceptions under 0.5
(-160) — DraftKings
Devin Singletary Player Props
I’m comfortable betting on a lead RB as talented as Devin Singletary against a defense yielding 4.8 yards per carry. Buffalo should need Singletary’s versatility if Green Bay is able to contain the Bills’ otherwise elite WR corps.
- Rushing yards over 56.5
(-110) — DraftKings - Receptions over 3.5
(+130) — DraftKings - Receiving yards over 20.5
(-110) — BetMGM
Gabe Davis Player Props
The exceptionally talented Gabe Davis is still in hit-or-miss mode operating in a high-powered offense that, quite simply, hasn’t needed to feed him heavily. I expect that trend to continue in Week 8.
- Receptions under 3.5
(-105) — DraftKings - Receiving yards under 55.5
(-110) — DraftKings
Aaron Rodgers Player Props
If you’re an Aaron Rodgers fan, a Packers fan, and/or a fan of aging QBs trying to remain in their prime, then tonight’s context might fill you with anxiety.
Maybe I’ll be wrong. Maybe Green Bay will find a way to get back on track against one of the NFL’s toughest opponents.
But as it stands, Rodgers will be without Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb. Romeo Doubs remains a work in progress. Sammy Watkins to the rescue? No knock on Watkins. But this isn’t the old days when Rodgers threw largely to the same group from one season to the next.
I believe Rodgers, at his best, will still fall short of betting expectations. Even if he feeds Aaron Jones a dozen times, 220 yards and two scores seem out of reach.
- Rushing yards under 1.5
(-105) — DraftKings - Passing completions over 23.5
(-115) — DraftKings - Passing TDs under 1.5
(-155) — DraftKings - Interceptions under 0.5
(-180) — FanDuel - Passing yards under 234.5
(-115) — DraftKings
Aaron Jones Player Props
Can Jones carry the Packers to victory? He’s done it before. The talent is there. Will he receive the volume he deserves? That’s another question.
Here’s an interesting stat: Green Bay has won 16 of his 17 career games when he’s accumulated 90+ rushing yards. They’re 23-2 in contests when he’s earned 15+ carries.
So yeah, there’s a pathway for Jones to elevate the Packers just enough to propel them to victory. Will it happen? I doubt it. Because assuming the Bills jump out to a comfortable third-quarter lead, Green Bay might opt not to risk an injury to Jones.
Keeping him healthy and fresh against the upcoming Lions, Cowboys, and Titans could mean the difference between making the postseason and missing it.
- Rushing attempts under 11.5
(+105) — DraftKings - Rushing yards under 47.5
(-115) — DraftKings - Receptions over 4.5
(+115) — DraftKings - Receiving yards under 30.5
(-125) — DraftKings
