After winning their second Super Bowl in four seasons last year, the Kansas City Chiefs are the favorites to win it all again this season. There hasn’t been a repeat Super Bowl champion since the New England Patriots in 2003-2004, but if there’s any team that can pull it off, it’s one led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid.
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless noted otherwise
Kansas City Chiefs Futures Odds
Super Bowl Odds: +600
AFC Odds: +350
AFC West Odds: -165
Win Total: 11.5 (Over -140/Under +120)
To Make/Miss the Playoffs: -450/+360
Kansas City Chiefs Offense
The Chiefs lost a few starters from last year’s team on offense, but we learned from last season to never, under any circumstances, doubt this unit. Even after trading away star WR Tyreek Hill a year ago, Kansas City was still the best offense in the NFL, and Patrick Mahomes had a career season.
Don’t expect any regression because guys like OT Orlando Brown and WR JuJu Smith-Schuster left in free agency. Last year’s rookies — RB Isaiah Pacheco and WR Skyy Moore — are poised for bigger roles this season, and as long as WR Kadarius Toney can stay healthy, he should have a major role after joining the team at the trade deadline in 2022.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense
The defensive unit is led by All-Pro DT Chris Jones, who led all defensive tackles last season in snaps, pressures, and pass-rush win rate. Jones is currently holding out of training camp in hopes of a new contract, but I wouldn’t expect him to miss any games in 2023.
The Chiefs’ defense, which ranked 12th in yards allowed last season, will look slightly different in 2023. Most notably, DE Charles Omenihu replaces Frank Clark, who Kansas City released in the offseason, and they drafted edge rusher Felix Anudike-Uzomah out of Kansas State in Round 1.
The Chiefs have been building through the draft on defense. In fact, Anudike-Uzomah is KC’s third first-round pick that they have used on that side of the ball in two years. Last season, 2022 first-round picks CB Trent McDuffie and DE George Karlaftis played major roles as rookies. They should have even greater impacts in 2023.
One Betting Trend To Know
Only two teams have cashed over tickets on game totals more than 59% of the time on the road in the past two seasons: the Vikings at 62.5% and the Chiefs at a whopping 70.6%!
From PFN Fantasy & Betting Analyst Kyle Soppe using Inside Edge
Best Bet for the Chiefs in 2023
Wingo: Let’s start at the top. The defending Super Bowl champions come into the season with an over/under win total of 11.5. That is certainly a big number, but in every season since Patrick Mahomes has been the starting QB, they’ve won at least 12 games. Yes, that streak will end eventually, but I don’t think it’s going to be this season.
One of the reasons the Chiefs rack up so many wins is that they start the season on fire. KC has won their first game of the season seven years in a row, and they usually continue that hot streak through the month of September.
With Mahomes under center, KC is 13-3 in the first month of the year. That’s how you get to five straight years with at least 12 wins. Kansas City should make it six in 2023.
Chiefs over 11.5 wins
