If you’re planning to bet on Week 11 NFL player props for Sunday’s must-see-to-believe Minnesota Vikings vs. Dallas Cowboys matchup, then you’ve come to the right place.
We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated and which could fall short of expectations. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, or FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000.
Top Vikings vs. Cowboys Player Props To Target
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.
Kirk Cousins Player Props
After throwing for 357 yards last weekend against Buffalo, has all hell broken loose with Kirk Cousins’ props? He entered the contest averaging 250 yards per contest. Dallas is surrendering only 205 passing yards per game. You get where I’m going with this.
Ah, but his props are still comfortably “normal.” If you’re as bullish about Minnesota’s offense on Sunday as I am, then normal gives us a great opportunity to bet the overs. I’m expecting 55+ points between these two teams. With his talent-heavy offense healthy and prospering, it would be shocking if Cousins doesn’t hit at least 275-2 through the air.
- Passing yards over 257.5
(-110) — BetMGM - Passing TDs over 1.5
(-120) — BetMGM - Interceptions under 0.5
(-110) — DraftKings
Dalvin Cook Player Props
Sometimes stats matter. Sometimes they don’t. Usually, the truth lies somewhere in between.
Dallas has yielded the third-fewest receptions and receiving yards to opposing RBs. This is also a bit skewed, as they faced a Lions squad missing D’Andre Swift (Jamaal Williams caught only one pass), as well as the Eagles and Bears, which have the league’s fewest RB receptions.
Dalvin Cook remains an offensive focal point. 100+ total yards seems likely against a defense yielding 4.8 yards per carry.
- Rushing yards over 79.5
(-115) — BetMGM - Receiving yards over 14.5
(-110) — BetMGM
T.J. Hockenson Player Props
Have said this before and will say it again: the Vikings acquired T.J. Hockenson to use him — not as a blocker, but as a playmaker. He’s already elevated Minnesota’s offense beyond what Irv Smith Jr. (at this stage of his career) can do. Expect Cousins to keep targeting Hockenson.
- Receiving yards over 40.5
(-120) — BetMGM
Dak Prescott Player Props
With the Cowboys’ backfield props almost non-existent (due to questions surrounding Ezekiel Elliott’s availability), our focus turns squarely to the passing game. If Minnesota jumps out to a two-touchdown lead, Dak Prescott could throw for 350+, simply because he has the personnel — and the Vikings have a porous enough pass D — to thrive.
Therefore, these recommendations assume Dallas trails more than leads in this game. While we haven’t yet seen a blow-up this season from Prescott, we can blame that mostly on getting hurt in Week 1 and then working his way back into form after spending six weeks on the shelf.
So if you’re concerned about his numbers, don’t be. A healthy receiving corps and the terrific pass-catching Tony Pollard should propel Prescott to his best passing output of the season.
- Passing yards over 253.5
(-110) — BetMGM - Passing TDs over 1.5
(-140) — BetMGM - Interceptions under 0.5
(-115) — DraftKings
CeeDee Lamb Player Props
CeeDee Lamb is playing like a top-five NFL receiver. The Vikings have surrendered the third most WR receiving yards. We can’t account for fluke injuries, but we can bet on high probabilities. And Lamb is a high-probability 100-yard receiver in this superb matchup.
- Receiving yards over 75.5
(-115) — BetMGM
Michael Gallup Player Props
This is what it means to go all in on a game script. If we believe Prescott will throw for 300+ yards, then it would be difficult to bet against one of his top receivers. True, Michael Gallup doesn’t rival Lamb in upside or consistency. But he has strong 1,000-yard potential in this offense, and I believe he’ll be much better in these final nine weeks than he was in the first half of the season.
- Receiving yards over 41.5
(-115) — DraftKings
Dalton Schultz Player Props
Again, betting on an outcome rather than merely what one player might do in a vacuum. A successful day for Prescott should translate into at least a modestly good day for Dalton Schultz.
- Receiving yards over 41.5
(-115) — BetMGM
