Those deeply ingrained in the dynasty fantasy football world know there is no true offseason, and with what has already been a chaotic 2023 offseason underway, we have the first post-2023 NFL Draft update, which had mixed results on the rookie landscape.
2023 Dynasty Superflex Rookie Rankings | 1-10
1) Anthony Richardson, QB, Indianapolis Colts
Anthony Richardson has the highest ceiling of any QB in this class. All the tools are there for him to become a star in the NFL. If his progression, maturation, and situation all align, it’s within his range of outcomes to be a Cam Newton-level player. I don’t say that lightly, either.
He’s a big QB (6’4″ and 244) who can scramble with the best of them but do it in a physical manner while having the speed to run away from defenders. His NFL Combine numbers alone make fantasy managers and NFL GMs alike drool: 4.43 40-yard dash (1.53 10-yard split), 40.5″ vertical, and 10’9″ broad, giving him a perfect 10.00 RAS.
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Richardson has a strong arm and can drive the ball with no issue. Velocity has never been a concern. Fitting it into the right window can be hit or miss, especially when flighting it over the underneath coverage. Also, his deep ball lacks consistency, which can be due to a combination of footwork and trajectory. But when it clicks, it’s magical.
The fact he got top-four draft capital is all I needed to see and was the final missing piece of the evaluation. Indianapolis is arguably the second-best landing spot outside of Detroit for Richardson, who joins a team with massive bodies at pass catcher with Michael Pittman Jr., Jelani Woods, and Alec Pierce. Plus, Richardson will flow perfectly in the RPO schemes of Shane Steichen with Jonathan Taylor. They also drafted Josh Downs to be the slot player and play the Parris Campbell role, hopefully with more success.
My only question is, who will be the vertical threat that can maximize Richardson’s arm strength? That I do not know. However, we have a new 1.01 in 2023 dynasty Superflex rookie drafts.
2) Bijan Robinson, RB, Atlanta Falcons
Bijan Robinson is the best running back prospect we’ve seen come out of college since Saquon Barkley and is as complete of a back as you could ask for in today’s modern game.
Robinson has a career average of 6.3 yards per carry, with 4.39 coming after contact, and in 2022, he had 104 missed tackles, which was miles ahead of the next closest RB on a per-game rate.
He also sat No. 1 amongst 2023 eligible RBs at 2.34 YPTP (yards per team play). Robinson rushed for 100+ yards in nine of 12 games while also averaging 2.11 YPRR (yards per route run) when split out. He checks every single box and is as close to a “can’t miss” prospect as you’ll find.
The landing spot is great, too, not that it matters much. Atlanta RBs last year were No. 1 in yards, yards per carry, and rushing first downs. They were No. 2 in EPA/rush and No. 3 in success rate, first downs/rush, and TDs/rush. They were 31st in passing rate over expectation, and while Desmond Ridder should be an upgrade over Marcus Mariota, they are a run-first offense.
Throw in top-10 draft capital, and Robinson is officially the RB1 for dynasty. He slid one spot behind Richardson for me, but I won’t go after anyone sticking to the pre-draft thinking of “Bijan, no matter what.” This is also a cautionary tale to anyone with an RB who went on Day 3.
If they pop in year one, move them as, despite Tyler Allgeier ranking No. 2 in EPA (min. 100 attempts), No. 5 in yards after contact/attempt (3.6), and breaking the franchise’s rookie rushing record was not enough to hold his job.
3) Bryce Young, QB, Carolina Panthers
As a pure passer, Bryce Young has a leg up on Stroud. But size is the issue for Young and why there are concerns about his fit in the NFL. Young has a slim frame, standing 6’0″ and weighing 204 pounds after Thanksgiving.
With that said, there are reports around the program he played closer to 190 for Alabama. That being said, Carolina already has a plan in place for it and spent the highest possible draft capital to acquire him (No. 1 overall).
He’s calm when the pocket gets messy, shows vast maturity when going through his progression, and can excel both on and off script inside and out of the pocket.
While Young doesn’t have the strongest arm in the class, he can make every throw, including corner hole shots and far hash to the numbers. I would just like this more if DJ Moore was still here. They drafted Jonathan Mingo to be the hopeful WR1 of the future, but we’ll see if he has that skill set. He will be able to learn from Adam Thielen and DJ Chark as he transitions to the NFL game. Just be prepared to hold your breath anytime Young gets hit.
4) Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Detroit Lions
Smooth is the best way to explain Jahmyr Gibbs’ style, but in an instant, he can hit someone with an electric cut. Gibbs did measure in a bit smaller at 5’9″ and 199 pounds, but if anyone thought he was 210+, you might need a new prescription. He is not a grinder anyway, so I don’t see the concern.
What is not up for debate is Gibbs’ athleticism, with a 4.36 40 time and a 33.5″ vert. He’ll pull away from defenders and is a nightmare in open space. That more than translates as he can maximize his per-touch upside, which will be massive in Detroit.
It’s clear Detroit loves him, and you can see it in the video from their draft room. NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero stated the Lions “would’ve been comfortable taking him at No. 6. Instead, Brad Holmes traded back with AZ, added draft capital (including No. 34), and got Gibbs at 12.”
Detroit has a top-three offensive line, and Gibbs has the upside to quickly become the RB3 in dynasty with Robinson and Breece Hall, especially with D’Andre Swift traded to the Philadelphia Eagles, leaving Gibbs to work with David Montgomery. I am all-in. Remember, Swift was fourth in fantasy points per touch last season, with Jamaal Williams scoring 17 touchdowns because he has 70 targets. Gibbs can get more out of each opportunity than he did.
Managers at the No. 4 spot will have to choose between Stroud and Gibbs for what best serves their needs. That’s not an easy decision, given the QB premium of Superflex formats, but Gibbs will quickly be viewed as a top-three dynasty RB with Breece Hall and Robinson.
5) C.J. Stroud, QB, Houston Texans
A 2021 Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year and two-time Heisman Trophy finalist, C.J. Stroud has an impressive blend of size, mobility, and instincts as a passer. Similar to Young, there’s not a throw he can’t make, and he showed significant growth from the start of his 2021 season all the way to today.
There are some instances in his footwork that need to be addressed. Additionally, Stroud seemed more impacted by pressure or dirty pockets than Young, and in the NFL, dealing with pressure needs to be second nature. At the same time, no QB is perfect coming in, and of the quarterbacks in this class, the “safest” to hit their median range of outcomes is Stroud, even though his ceiling is not the highest.
The talk of Houston not wanting him was pure B.S., and the draft capital proves it by taking him No. 2 overall and hoping they would be able to move back up to No. 3 for Will Anderson Jr.
That move, in particular, has me a bit concerned for Stroud as the Texans gave up their own 2024 first to get Anderson, not Cleveland’s, which projects to be much lower.
That takes away a shot for Houston to add a top-tier playmaker for Stroud, and they will need to rely on moves both in-season and in next year’s free agency to ensure Stroud has players who will help him grow as a passer. That being said, I can’t let him go any lower than No. 5 overall in my 2023 dynasty rookie rankings.
6) Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seattle Seahawks
Recording 95 receptions, Jaxon Smith-Njigba set a Big Ten single-season record with 1,606 receiving yards. With Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave sitting out the postseason as they focused on the NFL Draft, Smith-Njigba set a Rose Bowl record in 2021 with 347 receiving yards on 15 receptions and was named MVP.
Smith-Njigba’s hands and route running are phenomenal. He’s an elite separator, has sensational body control, and is as smart as it gets with how he operates over the middle of the field against zone coverage. The only thing missing from his skill set is top-end speed (did not run at the Combine).
At the same time, JSN doesn’t get anywhere near the credit he deserves for his deceiving physicality and in-play intelligence, seemingly always flashing his numbers and working back to the QB when the play is extended.
While not my ideal landing spot, I don’t mind it enough to change his ranking amongst WRs. Seattle is very top-heavy at receiver with DK Metcalf and an aging Tyler Lockett, someone some have compared him to, along with former Seahawk Doug Baldwin. Seattle was very efficient last season, but it all comes down to Geno Smith and if he can duplicate his 2022 season. It must be said Seattle, at least through Round 1, showed a lot of faith in him as they passed multiple opportunities to draft a QB.
JSN can be the perfect No. 3 in the slot and give Seattle arguably the best WR room in the league. Once Lockett, 31, moves on, Smith-Njigba is primed to compliment Metcalf for years to come as he signed an extension before last season.
7) Jordan Addison, WR, Minnesota Vikings
Jordan Addison is currently my No. 2 WR in this class. He suffered a leg injury against Utah and was seen on crutches, luckily avoiding a major injury. He returned to play in the final four games but saw varying usage, catching 59 of his 79 targets (74.7% catch rate) for 875 yards (2.78 YPRR, 7.0 YAC/R) with eight touchdowns.
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Addison plucks the ball out of the sky and explodes to the high point. He’s a twitchy runner who’s also a serious threat after the catch. At 5’11” and roughly 173 pounds, Addison profiles similarly to DeVonta Smith and Tyler Lockett — route-running technicians who can generate YAC after manufactured touches and quick hitters. However, he lacks the play strength of Smith.
While, as a prospect, I valued Flowers higher, Addison received the better landing spot despite going one pick behind him. Minnesota’s passing attack has been dynamic, with Kirk Cousins playing well and Justin Jefferson the top wide receiver in the league. Addison will fill the role vacated by Adam Thielen and step in as the No. 2 from Day 1. Though it must be said Cousins is going to be 35, and his play on the field could begin to drop off in the relatively soon future.
8) Quentin Johnston, WR, Los Angeles Chargers
Quentin Johnston is your guy if you’re a fan of big-body wide receivers. At 6’3″ and 208 pounds, he has a size advantage over 99% of corners and uses every inch of his frame to high-point with the best of them. But for a guy his size, Johnston has a surprising level of burst and acceleration.
He’s also surprisingly agile out of inward routes like slants when he sells the outside move. That is when he is trying to give it full gas, as you can see in reps when he is not full throttle out of the blocks.
There are real concerns about how raw Johnston is, and for someone whose main trait is supposed to be that “go-up-and-get-it” guy, catching eight of 23 attempts in 2022 and having a career 40.7% contested-catch rate is concerning.
After the consensus seemed to shift that Johnston wouldn’t be a first-rounder, those rumors were proven incorrect as Los Angeles selected Johnston with the No. 21 overall pick. He joins Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, but the biggest part is OC Kellen Moore, who will bring a more vertically attacking scheme to LA that meshes not only with Justin Herbert but also Johnston.
Johnston will be fighting with Josh Palmer for targets in the beginning but could and should develop a larger role. But can we trust a TCU WR? Maybe the third time is the charm. Johnston, having seen how WRs in this class are being viewed, is the WR3 in 2023 dynasty rookie rankings but is a near toss-up to Flowers, and I expect them to go right with each other in drafts.
9) Zay Flowers, WR, Baltimore Ravens
The meteoric rise of Zay Flowers was so fun to be a part of, as his skill set is undeniable. I just can’t, in good conscience, place him any higher in my 2023 Superflex dynasty rankings, and it is not something I enjoy.
At 5’9″ and 182 pounds, Flowers’ catch radius will limit his ceiling (29 1/4″ arms), but he can work outside his frame thanks to his body control. Flowers fights on every play and could be a YAC monster out of the slot. His route running and play speed are sensational (4.42 40 time). But what makes him special is how he stays in DBs’ blindspots like a mirror match to Antonio Brown. That might sound blasphemous to compare the two, but it is what it is.
But when I saw him go to Baltimore, even though they locked up Lamar Jackson, I could only hang my head. This is a low-volume passing game, and Flowers, even if he can maximize his targets, will be impacted by the offensive scheme. This is a direct shot at Rashod Bateman, too, as he has yet to remain on the field due to injuries.
I want to love Flowers, but the fantasy upside I believed he showed has been noticeably muted, though he will be a great NFL receiver. Perhaps his skill set is so good he can prove me wrong.
If the change in OC to Todd Monken and the addition of more pass catchers are a sign of things to come, Baltimore could look to open up the offense a bit more. I’d take just league-average passing output at this point. That said, Jackson has a career-high of 401 attempts (2019) which would have ranked 18th last season.
10) Kendre Miller, RB, New Orleans Saints
At 5’11” and 215 pounds, Kendre Miller hits all of the historical benchmarks for what size of RB works in the NFL. With that size comes natural power, which Miller has no issue handing out. That’s why he averages 3.61 yards after contact.
Miller is incredibly light on his feet and has an arsenal of weapons, from jukes to spin moves or even the hurdle. His contact balance? Until he is down on the ground, he’s still a threat for additional yards. Together, they allow Miller to force a missed tackle on 31% of his runs (67).
In 13 games, Miller had 1,342 yards (16th) on 216 carries (6.2 ypc) with 17 touchdowns. The receiving work is nothing spectacular at 16-of-20 for 116 yards in 2022, but he can catch the ball just fine.
Miller not only has the profile but received Day 2 draft capital (No. 71), joining the New Orleans Saints, who have Alvin Kamara facing a possible suspension, is declining in his efficiency, and has an out in his contract after this season, paving the way for a runaway RB1 role.
Sure, Jamaal Williams is there to take some goal-line carries away, and Miller might not be all-world in 2023. But given what happened to the rest of the RB class during the draft, Miller moved up one spot to RB3 in my rankings and is a first-rounder for me in Superflex drafts.
2023 Dynasty Superflex Rookie Rankings | 11-20
11) Will Levis, QB, Tennessee Titans
Will Levis just plummeted. Not only did he not go inside the top four, but he didn’t even go in the first round, finally being drafted at No. 33 with the Titans moving up to get him. Do I like his traits? Of course. He has a cannon of an arm, a big frame, and brings rushing upside too. But the NFL is telling us they don’t view him as an elite prospect. Keeping him in the early part of the first round in my rankings would be simply take-lock and bad advice.
The issue is that he just hasn’t shown the level of consistency as a passer you’d need to move him any higher. What is almost more unsettling is his sheer lack of pocket awareness, even from front-side rushers where you’d expect Levis to know he has the hot guy. We’ll see how much Levis’ toe injury was the culprit to his mechanical and ball placement issues, but clearly, there is a lot going on here.
Levis is not going to start in Year 1 and never should have, in my opinion. But Ryan Tannehill is also not the stiffest of competition, and Levis currently projects as the Titans’ 2024 starting QB and could see the field at some point in 2023 if Tannehill struggles and Mike Vabrel wants to give him some real reps in game scenarios to see where he is in his development.
Hopefully, Tennessee can find some weapons along the way, as they continue to develop Levis. Treylon Burks is not an alpha yet, and there are still questions as to how long Derrick Henry will be in town.
If I get Levis in a draft, it’s going to be at a discount, and more than likely, someone likes him more than me. I am not going to throw away any chance he can become the player some feel he can be, but the odds are most certainly against him. But if I need a QB and the first three are gone, I’ll roll the dice as Levis won’t be back next time on the clock.
12) Dalton Kincaid, TE, Buffalo Bills
Well, isn’t this a surprise? Dalton Kincaid was the most productive tight end in college before he sustained a back injury which ended his season after recording 70 receptions for 890 yards and eight touchdowns.
According to NFL Insider Albert Breer, “The Bills were said to be looking for a replacement for Cole Beasley in the slot. That’s where the connection to Josh Downs, who I believe they liked, was made. And the end answer here winds up being Dalton Kincaid, who’ll be a big slot receiver, essentially, for them.”
Uh, yes, please! Kincaid was never going to be an in-line TE. He was one of the best players in the country in the slot, receivers included. As expected for a tight end, Kincaid has a big frame at 6’3 1/2″ and 246 pounds with 10 1/4″ hands.
I don’t even necessarily view him as a Dawson Knox replacement but as more of a big slot receiver who, as a rookie, could become the No. 2 pass catcher for Josh Allen. That alone says enough, even Knox is a bit frustrating in the red zone.
The Bills are choosing to fight fire with fire by adding Kincaid to a dynamic, passing-centric offense with Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs.
I did not see him going ahead of Michael Mayer, but needless to say, I am all-in on Buffalo’s new offensive weapon. If he does see slot work primarily, he is a top-10 TE as a rookie in PPR formats as a floor due to the potential target volume.
13) Jonathan Mingo, WR, Carolina Panthers
The Panthers clearly had a plan when they made their blockbuster trade before the draft. That plan was to select Young and find their replacement for DJ Moore. They drafted that player in Jonathan Mingo.
Although Mingo’s college production wasn’t elite, he can make plays all over the field. He’s a big target at 6’2″ and 215 pounds and plays like someone of that size. Mingo’s separation can be a bit inconsistent, but if you get the ball in his hands, he can be an electric playmaker. Mingo is also someone who saw a lot of manufactured touches, with screens accounting for 18% of his targets in 2022.
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Ole Miss has become a factory for receivers, with A.J. Brown, Metcalf, and Elijah Moore coming out in recent years. Can Mingo join that list? Yeah, I think he can. He’s in a perfect spot to join and learn from Thielen in his early years. Mingo’s the future (hopefully) No. 1 of the Panthers, and I’m going to draft him accordingly.
14) Zach Charbonnet, RB, Seattle Seahawks
After rushing 204 times for 1,153 yards and 13 touchdowns in his first season with UCLA following a transfer from Michigan, Zach Charbonnet backed it up with an even more efficient season in 2022.
Rushing 194 times, Charbonnet averaged a whopping seven yards per carry for 1,358 yards (15th) with 14 touchdowns (T-14th). He’s a brutal assignment for a would-be tackler at 6’1″ and 220 pounds. He runs behind his pads and will lay the wood, averaging 4.15 yards after contact per attempt, with 26.8% of his attempts generating a missed tackle and over 22% of his carries going for 10+ yards.
Rounding out Charbonnet’s game is his receiving skill, as he caught 60 of 69 targets at UCLA for 501 yards. His testing numbers checked all the boxes and confirmed some as well — he’s a great athlete but not the quickest player on the field.
But this landing spot has me confused. Seattle? Really? I get Pete Carroll wants to establish the run, and some of Kenneth Walker III’s metrics weren’t great, but he was, for fantasy purposes, great. Walker III was the RB8 from Weeks 6 through 17 after Rashaad Penny was placed on IR and finished as the RB9 in points per game. Take away the two games he missed due to injury, and Walker averaged 16.4 PPR points per game.
All it did was limit the fantasy ceiling for two incredibly talented running backs. Not only that, Seattle then drafted Kenny McIntosh in the seventh round, which will only take away potential targets for Charbonnet or Walker.
These are two RBs who deserve 80%+ touch dominance that will now sit in the 40% range. I keep Charbonnet here because of his profile and know what he can be in the NFL, but I’d be completely lying to you if I said I knew how this was going to play out.
15) Devon Achane, RB, Miami Dolphins
While most of the running backs saw their values plummet compared to pre-draft rankings, there was one RB who received the dream landing spot, and that is Devon Achane to the Miami Dolphins.
Coming off the board as the No. 84 overall pick and RB5, Achane has to be an outlier if he is going to become a reliable fantasy asset. He’s 5’9″ and listed at 185 pounds. Since 1995, there have only been 10 instances where running backs who were sub-190 pounds ran for over 1,000 yards in a season. Of those times, five were by Warrick Dunn alone.
But Achane has world-class speed that can’t be denied. If in space, which this scheme will allow, he will be a chunk-play machine. Miami re-signed Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr. this offseason on one-year deals, but I don’t see that stopping Achane from impacting right away.
But even if he doesn’t hit the magical 1,000-yard threshold, Achane is a leverage changer for Miami. If the Dolphins give him around 10 opportunities per game or hopefully more, Achane has starter upside for fantasy and could potentially be the next Dunn. He and Charbonnet are a coin flip with one side being prototypical size but a poor landing spot vs. a perfect landing spot but an undersized RB needing to be an outlier.
16) Sam LaPorta, TE, Detroit Lions
Here’s another one I didn’t see coming, but I absolutely loved it. I also love it when a team tells us the expectations for a player. Last year, the Lions traded away T.J. Hockenson to the Minnesota Vikings and received a second-round pick in return. That pick was used on Iowa tight end Sam LaPorta, who is a combination of Hockenson and Noah Fant. That’s really high praise.
Last year, Detroit tight ends accounted for 12 touchdowns, a franchise record, and the second most in the NFL behind only Kansas City. Of those, nine were to Brock Wright (4), Shane Zylstra (4), and James Mitchell (1). That is the kind of upside LaPorta will have in the NFL when he is ready. So not only is he an extremely athletic tight end stepping into a role that has already produced high-end fantasy talent, but LaPorta’s also on a team that is on an upswing.
However, I expect more in Year 2, which is typically the norm for first-year tight ends. But don’t be surprised if he is given a crash course and on the field early due to Jameson Williams’ six-game suspension. If there was one good thing with this year’s draft is that it helped give us more useable TE talent, and LaPorta was one of the biggest risers in 2023 Superflex dynasty rookie rankings.
17) Michael Mayer, TE, Las Vegas Raiders
It was clear Michael Mayer was not happy that he wasn’t the first tight end selected, finally going as the TE3 as the No. 35 overall pick to Las Vegas. Honestly, I don’t blame him. I had him graded as my top tight end, and he had been my TE1 of the class since his freshman year at Notre Dame. He’s as complete as it gets.
Las Vegas traded away Darren Waller this offseason, creating a massive hole at tight end. While they signed Austin Hooper and O.J. Howard, neither is the long-term solution, and Mayer has vastly more upside.
Mayer is impacted by Davante Adams‘ absurd target and red-zone share, but he should be an immediate pass-game weapon and an upgrade in the run game as a blocker. Jimmy Garoppolo knows how to find his tight ends, and Josh McDaniels knows to scheme them into impactful roles.
Several teams will end up feeling they made a mistake letting Mayer slip this far. He’s one of the highest-floor players available in drafts and has top-eight upside in two years.
18) Jalin Hyatt, WR, New York Giants
The 2022 Biletnikoff Award winner, Jalin Hyatt dominated for Tennessee as the primary playmaker for QB Hendon Hooker. At 6’0″ and 176 pounds, he is a leverage changer, as Hyatt forces defenses to adjust when he is on the field. This was evident by his ridiculous 2022 season, where he recorded 15 touchdowns on 67 receptions for 1,267 yards.
Personally, there were several other teams I would have preferred to have seen Hyatt drafted to. At 6’0″ and 176 pounds, Hyatt forces defenses to adjust on the field due to his vertical speed. I would’ve loved seeing him with Los Angeles, but New York is a sneaky good fit for Hyatt.
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Hyatt will take the Darius Slayton role, which is more valuable than you might think. Last year, Slayton was 12th in deep targets, 15th in yards per target, and 10th in yards per reception. Those deep posts will now go to Hyatt, who will have a far better time maximizing the per-opportunity upside of those looks coming his way.
The Giants needed a legit No. 1 wide receiver. While I don’t know if that will be Hyatt when the dust settles, he’s likely a better route runner than being given credit for due to the option/choice scheme of Tennessee. With an aggressive Daniel Jones, plus Darren Waller drawing coverage, Hyatt is a solid value pick at this point in Superflex rookie rankings based on the upside.
19) Tyjae Spears, RB, Tennessee Titans
The winner of the pre-draft cycle was Tyjae Spears. Unless you watched Tulane football, Spears might have been a name many didn’t know, but to overlook him would be a massive mistake.
Spears rushed for a whopping 1,586 yards in 2022 (fifth) with 19 touchdowns on 231 attempts. He also had a 27.2% missed tackle rate, and 32.4% of his attempts went for 10+ yards. He crossed the 100-yard mark nine times (including his final eight games), capped off by a Cotton Bowl performance that put him on the map, rising for 205 yards and four touchdowns on 17 attempts against a favored USC.
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But I don’t know if I would call him a winner now. It’s out there that Spears doesn’t even have an ACL in one of his knees. That’s scary, but he’s made it work thus far. However, it could be a short career, as further reporting has stated Spears has full-thickness cartilage loss (end-stage arthritis), which has actually helped his stability. But as we have seen in the past, most notably with Todd Gurley, arthritis in the knees is a death sentence for running backs.
Like many, I am still trying to figure out what this will end up meaning for his career, but at least in the short term, there is upside as Tennessee doesn’t have anyone behind Derrick Henry of note beyond a plodder in Hassan Haskins. Plus, if rumors due end up coming true and Henry is shipped off, Spears will be a starting fantasy running back. If this happens, Spears is a candidate to be sold high midseason for a valuable 2024 pick or equivalent assets.
20) Jayden Reed, WR, Green Bay Packers
All Jayden Reed did was produce at a high level (given what the Michigan State offense would allow). Reed had three seasons of over 600 yards and five touchdowns and topped 1,000 yards in 2021 with 10 touchdowns. Reed had a career 2.18 YPRR with an 11.5 aDOT and saw a target come his way on nearly 25% of his passing down snaps (325 targets). Plus, he does that from all alignments, similar to Flowers’ positional versatility.
According to Matt Harmon’s Reception Perception, Reed posted a 70.3% success rate vs. man, 79.2% vs. zone, and an 87th percentile success rate vs. press at 77.8%. The guy averaged two car lengths of separation (don’t quote me on that).
He fights through contact mid-route, tracks the ball well, and has three-level speed. Reed is 5’11” and 187 pounds of pure production. With a few more tweaks to his game, Reed has the makings of a great NFL receiver.
While Green Bay doesn’t have Aaron Rodgers anymore, Jordan Love could be better than expected and had some good moments, albeit in a very small sample size. Reed can step in from Day 1 and be the No. 2 alongside Christian Watson. I actually really liked this landing spot, and he received second-round draft capital too. Dollar for dollar, he is one of the best WR values in the 2023 dynasty rookie rankings.
2023 Dynasty Superflex Rookie Rankings | 21-60
21) Tank Bigsby, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars
22) Marvin Mims, WR, Denver Broncos
23) Roschon Johnson, RB, Chicago Bears
24) Rashee Rice, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
25) Cedric Tillman, WR, Cleveland Browns
26) Josh Downs, WR, Indianapolis Colts
27) Hendon Hooker, QB, Detroit Lions
28) Darnell Washington, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers
29) Chase Brown, RB, Cincinnati Bengals
30) Michael Wilson, WR, Arizona Cardinals
31) Charlie Jones, WR, Cincinnati Bengals
32) Nathaniel “Tank” Dell, WR, Houston Texans
33) Luke Schoonmaker, TE, Dallas Cowboys
34) Kayshon Boutte, WR, New England Patriots
35) Tyler Scott, WR, Chicago Bears
36) Israel Abanikanda, RB, New York Jets
37) Eric Gray, RB, New York Giants
38) Luke Musgrave, TE, Green Bay Packers
39) Tucker Kraft, TE, Green Bay Packers
40) Evan Hull, RB, Indianapolis Colts
41) Zach Evans, RB, Los Angeles Rams
42) Chris Rodriguez Jr., RB, Washington Commanders
43) Deuce Vaughn, RB, Dallas Cowboys
44) Xavier Hutchinson, WR, Houston Texans
45) DeWayne McBride, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
46) Kenny McIntosh, RB, Seattle Seahawks
47) Jake Haener, QB, New Orleans Saints
48) Brenton Strange, TE, Jacksonville Jaguars
49) Tre Tucker, WR, Las Vegas Raiders
50) Puka Nacua, WR, Los Angeles Rams
51) Zack Kuntz, TE, New York Jets
52) A.T. Perry, WR, New Orleans Saints
53) Parker Washington, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars
54) Elijah Higgins, TE, Miami Dolphins
55) Trey Palmer, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
56) Stetson Bennett, QB, Los Angeles Rams
57) Aiden O’Connell, QB, Las Vegas Raiders
58) Sean Tucker, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
59) Will Mallory, TE, Indianapolis Colts
60) Dorian Thompson-Robinson, QB, Cleveland Browns
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